At the beginning of every new year (and happy New Year to all, by the way), I have a bit of fun guessing at what the coming year may hold for the iPhone and iPod business at Apple. I don't know that I'm a terrible good seer into the future (my 2010 predictions were solid, 2011 less so; we'll see about 2012 in a moment), but it's fun, so why not?
Let's start with a round-up of how I did with my 2012 predictions.
- What I got wrong: All of my Apple HDTV predictions. I anticipated we'd actually have the TV and that it would run iOS apps and Siri. No TV = incorrect prediction. I also expected a brand new type of device. Unless we count the iPad mini (which I don't), that was wrong, too.
- What I got right: The iPhone would come to T-Mobile and there would be a 4G LTE iPhone. The iPod Classic would live on.
So I had roughly 50% accuracy--not any better than flipping a coin, but better than 2011.
Now, here's what I expect to see in 2013:
- Apple HDTV: This is the year we'll finally get the Apple HDTV. It will run apps, use Siri and FaceTime, and will let iOS devices work as remotes.
- Apple HDTV gaming: This one is kind of out there, but I wouldn't be surprised if, when the TV arrives, iOS devices (especially the 5th gen. touch) can be used as gaming controllers, a la the Wiimote.
- The iPhone, iPad, and iPad mini refreshes: All will get two new models in 2013, rather than the single annual update of the past.
- iPhone storage: The high-end iPhone will offer 128GB storage this year.
- NFC: One of the new iPhones will offer NFC (Near-Field Communications) for wireless payments.
- Security: This is the year Apple takes some major steps to help users deal with stolen iOS devices. Exactly what form those steps will take is beyond my prognostication, but iOS thefts are at epidemic proportions (even from Apple's own stores). Things are going to get a lot tougher for thieves in 2013.